ACM Awards 2026 Predictions: Who Will Win Big? Lainey Wilson, Luke Combs, or Megan Moroney? (2026)

The 2026 ACM Awards predictions are in, and it's clear that the country music industry is buzzing with anticipation. As an expert commentator, I'm here to dissect the predictions and offer my own insights into the potential winners. The ACM Awards, hosted by Shania Twain at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, are set to stream live via Prime Video for the fifth consecutive year. The predictions, made by Billboard's Melinda Newman (executive editor, West Coast/Country) and Jessica Nicholson (associate editor, Country), offer a fascinating glimpse into the future of country music. One of the most intriguing categories is Entertainer of the Year, where women are leading the nominations. Megan Moroney heads the list with nine nods, followed by Miranda Lambert with eight, and Ella Langley and Lainey Wilson with seven each. This marks the second consecutive year that a female solo artist leads the nominations. Newman predicts that if Lainey Wilson wins, she will become the first woman to win consecutively three times. However, she faces stiff competition from Luke Combs, Cody Johnson, Chris Stapleton, Jelly Roll, and Morgan Wallen. In my opinion, the prediction of Wilson winning is a bold one, as Combs and Wallen are global stadium acts yet have not won despite multiple nominations. I think Combs is more likely to take home the award, as he has already secured the ACM's triple crown and continues to spearhead his stadium-level tour. Another category that promises to be exciting is Female Artist of the Year. Wilson is the reigning winner and has taken it home three consecutive years. However, Langley is on a powerhouse streak right now, thanks to her Billboard 200-topping album Dandelion and her Hot 100 juggernaut "Choosin' Texas." I think Langley will win this category, as she seems to have the wind in her sails right now. The Male Artist of the Year category is also hotly contested. Combs, Johnson, and Stapleton are strong contenders, but I think Zach Top will take home the award. Top earned a top 20 Country Airplay hit with "Good Times and Tan Lines" and released the album "Ain't In It For My Health," which topped the Top Country Albums chart. The Group of the Year category is a toss-up between Old Dominion and The Red Clay Strays, who took home the award at the CMA Awards in November. I think The Red Clay Strays will win this category, as they are broadening the country sound with their unique style. Duo of the Year is another category that promises to be exciting. Brooks & Dunn are the reigning champs, but I think Dan + Shay will take home the award. They are multiple winners and have released a project in the past year, which could give them an edge over their competitors. Album of the Year is another category that is difficult to predict. Wallen's "I'm The Problem" is the biggest-seller of the year, but each of the competitors has also earned solid sales or critical acclaim. I think "Ain't In It For My Health" will win this category, as it is a neo-traditionalist style that is resonating with fans. Song of the Year is another category that is difficult to predict. Each of the nominees showed a new or different facet of the performer, and the performers are also the songwriters in all nominees. If Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" wins, the songwriters of 1939's "The Wizard of Oz"'s "Somewhere Over the Rainbow" will become ACM Award winners. I think "Choosin' Texas" will win this category, as it has become a phenomenon and seems impossible to beat. Finally, Single of the Year is another category that is difficult to predict. Three songs nominated for Song of the Year repeat here, showing how much voters thought of the tunes as both artistic statements and commercial achievements. I think "Choosin' Texas" will win this category, as it has been a runaway hit this year and has made history at the top of the Hot 100. In conclusion, the 2026 ACM Awards predictions offer a fascinating glimpse into the future of country music. While some categories are difficult to predict, I think the winners will be those who have shown a new or different facet of the performer and have resonating with fans. I look forward to seeing who takes home the top honors on May 17th.

ACM Awards 2026 Predictions: Who Will Win Big? Lainey Wilson, Luke Combs, or Megan Moroney? (2026)
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